Botafogo 2-1 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 27 Jun 2024

📅27/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.65
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
17%
4.33
X/2
8%
7.64
X/X
12%
4.41
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
8%
5.92
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
1.40/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.34
-5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
19.5 Crosses 20.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Bragantino
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.96 xG 1.42
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
193 Passes 343
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2024 Bragantino 1-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo LKU
07.03.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 2-1 HT 1-1 Bragantino LKU
12.11.2023 Bragantino 2-2 HT 1-2 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
16.07.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 2-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
27.10.2022 Botafogo Botafogo 2-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
05.07.2022 Bragantino 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo
2-1
AWAY Bragantino
0.55 xG 1.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
322 Passes 346
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Botafogo vs Bragantino
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Botafogo edged past Bragantino 2-1 in the Brazil - Serie A on 27 Jun 2024. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Botafogo had 49% of the ball to Bragantino's 51%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.55 to 1.49.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo have the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Botafogo and 0.83 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Botafogo vs Bragantino?

Botafogo 2-1 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 49%, draw 27%, Bragantino 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botafogo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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