Persija Jakarta 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 12 Apr 2025

Persija Jakarta
1-1 HT 0-0
Persebaya Surabaya
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2024/2025

Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Persija Jakarta v Persebaya Surabaya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persija Jakarta EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +17%
1.53/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.94
+7% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persija Jakarta
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
307 Passes 465
The Meetings
22.11.2024 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 HT 0-1 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
16.12.2022 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 1-1 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
14.02.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 3-3 HT 1-1 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
26.10.2021 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 0-1 HT 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
17.12.2019 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 1-2 HT 1-2 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
POST-MATCH Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persija Jakarta and Persebaya Surabaya shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Persija Jakarta at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Persija Jakarta and 1.80 for Persebaya Surabaya.

What was the final score of Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Persija Jakarta 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persija Jakarta win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Persija Jakarta 44%, draw 28%, Persebaya Surabaya 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Persija Jakarta), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Persija Jakarta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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