Harju Jalgpallikool 1-2 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
53%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+8.7pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.2pp
53%
Away Win
68%
-14.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 72%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
0.97/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/0.89
-1% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
08.10.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 4-0 HT 2-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
06.08.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-1 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
11.06.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-1 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
01.04.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
1-2
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond edged past Harju Jalgpallikool 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Harju Jalgpallikool had 35% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 65%, shots finished 5-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Harju Jalgpallikool and 1.75 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Harju Jalgpallikool 1-2 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Harju Jalgpallikool 23%, draw 25%, Paide Linnameeskond 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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