FC Kuressaare 0-2 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
50%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
14%
+11.7pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.1pp
50%
Away Win
67%
-16.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 71%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.18/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/0.68
+23% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +13%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
18.08.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 5-1 HT 4-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
18.05.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
02.03.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-6 HT 0-3 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
26.09.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
27.08.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju got the better of FC Kuressaare 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Kuressaare and 3.67 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Nomme JK Kalju?

FC Kuressaare 0-2 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 26%, draw 24%, Nomme JK Kalju 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EST1 More Estonia - Premium League
12 Apr 2025
17:00 Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide Linnameeskond Analysis →
19:00 FC Levadia vs FC Flora Tallinn Analysis →