FC Kuressaare 1-2 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.71
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
44%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.61
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
18%
+14.8pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.0pp
44%
Away Win
62%
-18.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.9pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 67%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
0.99/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.85
-7% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +4%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 521 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 5-1 HT 4-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
18.05.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
02.03.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-6 HT 0-3 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
26.09.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
27.08.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
10.06.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
1-2
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju nicked a narrow win over FC Kuressaare 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 41% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 59%, shots finished 10-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FC Kuressaare and 3.67 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Nomme JK Kalju?

FC Kuressaare 1-2 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 33%, draw 24%, Nomme JK Kalju 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →