Lyon (K) 2-2 Paris FC (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.3
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
73%
-9.4pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.0pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
2.74/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.18/0.78
+24% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
47.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
27.6 Crosses 10.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Paris FC (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.56 xG 0.23
57% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
418 Passes 288
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 0
20.10.2024 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) FRK1
10.01.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon (K)
2-2
AWAY Paris FC (K)
0.68 xG 1.63
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
434 Passes 272
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lyon (K) vs Paris FC (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) and Paris FC (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lyon (K) at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Lyon (K) had 60% of the ball to Paris FC (K)'s 40%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.68 to 1.63.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lyon (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lyon (K) and 0.00 for Paris FC (K).

What was the final score of Lyon (K) vs Paris FC (K)?

Lyon (K) 2-2 Paris FC (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon (K) vs Paris FC (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Lyon (K) 63%, draw 20%, Paris FC (K) 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lyon (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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