Dijon (K) 1-0 Saint-Étienne (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 12 Apr 2025

Dijon (K)
1-0 HT 0-0
Saint-Étienne (K)
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2024/2025

Dijon (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-12.0pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.0pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.3pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dijon (K) v Saint-Étienne (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.63/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/3.34
-24% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -40%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
376 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 78%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.3
17.3 Crosses 8.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Dijon (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.67 xG 2.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
258 Passes 253
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) FRK1
10.02.2024 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) FRK1

Dijon (K) 1-0 Saint-Étienne (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon (K)
1-0
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
1.07 xG 0.22
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
435 Passes 187
83% Pass Accuracy 62%
28 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dijon (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon (K) nicked a narrow win over Saint-Étienne (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dijon (K) as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Dijon (K) had 64% of the ball to Saint-Étienne (K)'s 36%, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 1.07 to 0.22.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dijon (K) and 1.00 for Saint-Étienne (K).

What was the final score of Dijon (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Dijon (K) 1-0 Saint-Étienne (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dijon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dijon (K) 61%, draw 24%, Saint-Étienne (K) 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dijon (K)), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dijon (K)) ✓ BTTS No
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