Accra Lions 2-1 Basake Holy Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.9pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+10.5pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accra Lions EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Basake Holy Stars EU Bookmakers 25%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.58/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+48% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accra Lions
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Basake Holy Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10.11.2024 Basake Holy Stars 2-1 Accra Lions GANA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accra Lions
2-1
AWAY Basake Holy Stars
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Accra Lions vs Basake Holy Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accra Lions squeezed past Basake Holy Stars 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Accra Lions as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Accra Lions had 60% of the ball to Basake Holy Stars's 40%, shots finished 22-6.

What was the final score of Accra Lions vs Basake Holy Stars?

Accra Lions 2-1 Basake Holy Stars in the Gana - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accra Lions vs Basake Holy Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Accra Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Accra Lions 41%, draw 33%, Basake Holy Stars 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Accra Lions) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Accra Lions) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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