Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0 Kaisar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Cup, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.62
Over 2.5
54%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
58%
-11.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
42%
+11.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaisar EU Bookmakers 34%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.50
-26% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Kaisar
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
02.11.2024 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 6-2 HT 2-1 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
06.03.2024 Kaisar Kaisar 0-3 HT 0-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
29.10.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-1 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
05.03.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 0-1 HT 0-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
16.07.2022 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-2 HT 1-1 Kaisar Kaisar KAZKK
11.09.2021 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 2-0 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
POST-MATCH Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kaisar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyzyl-Zhar squeezed past Kaisar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kyzyl-Zhar as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyzyl-Zhar had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Kyzyl-Zhar and 0.83 for Kaisar.

What was the final score of Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kaisar?

Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0 Kaisar in the Kazakistan - Cup on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kaisar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyzyl-Zhar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kyzyl-Zhar 44%, draw 27%, Kaisar 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZKK More Kazakistan - Cup
12 Apr 2025
13:00 Ulytau vs Yelimay Semey Analysis →
17:00 FK Turan vs Atyrau Analysis →