Kaisar 0-3 Kyzyl-Zhar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 6 Mar 2024

Kaisar
0-3 HT 0-1
Kyzyl-Zhar
📅06/03/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2024

Kaisar vs Kyzyl-Zhar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
36%
+8.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.5pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kaisar v Kyzyl-Zhar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaisar EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
0.81/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.72
-37% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +75%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kaisar vs Kyzyl-Zhar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaisar
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-1 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
05.03.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 0-1 HT 0-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
16.07.2022 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-2 HT 1-1 Kaisar Kaisar KAZKK
11.09.2021 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 2-0 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
29.04.2021 Kaisar Kaisar 1-2 HT 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
27.11.2020 Kaisar Kaisar 1-2 HT 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
POST-MATCH Kaisar vs Kyzyl-Zhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyzyl-Zhar ran out comfortable winners over Kaisar 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kaisar at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyzyl-Zhar led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kaisar and 1.33 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

What was the final score of Kaisar vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Kaisar 0-3 Kyzyl-Zhar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaisar vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaisar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kaisar 44%, draw 28%, Kyzyl-Zhar 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kaisar), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kaisar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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