Tobol 4-2 Yelimay Semey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobol EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+13% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Tobol vs Yelimay Semey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol beat Yelimay Semey 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tobol as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Tobol vs Yelimay Semey?

Tobol 4-2 Yelimay Semey in the Kazakistan - Super League on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobol vs Yelimay Semey?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tobol 50%, draw 28%, Yelimay Semey 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
6 Mar 2024
12:30 Kaisar vs Kyzyl-Zhar Analysis →
15:00 Atyrau vs Ordabasy Shymkent Analysis →