Atyrau 1-1 Ordabasy Shymkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 6 Mar 2024

Atyrau
1-1 HT 0-0
Ordabasy Shymkent
📅06/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2024

Atyrau vs Ordabasy Shymkent Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.67
Over 2.5
31%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.16
No
63%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
17%
+5.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.0pp
48%
Away Win
59%
-10.4pp
69%
Under 2.5
56%
+13.0pp
31%
Over 2.5
44%
-13.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.2pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atyrau v Ordabasy Shymkent — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atyrau EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.60/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/0.79
-36% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -8%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
245 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Atyrau vs Ordabasy Shymkent Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atyrau
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
42% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.07.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 1-1 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
03.06.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 HT 2-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
01.10.2022 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-0 HT 1-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
29.07.2022 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 HT 1-1 Atyrau Atyrau KAZKK
22.07.2022 Atyrau Atyrau 1-4 HT 0-2 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZKK
01.05.2022 Atyrau Atyrau 2-1 HT 1-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Atyrau vs Ordabasy Shymkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atyrau and Ordabasy Shymkent couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ordabasy Shymkent at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atyrau and 1.83 for Ordabasy Shymkent.

What was the final score of Atyrau vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Atyrau 1-1 Ordabasy Shymkent in the Kazakistan - Super League on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atyrau vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Atyrau 22%, draw 29%, Ordabasy Shymkent 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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