Llaneros 0-1 Alianza Petrolera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 12 Apr 2025

Llaneros
0-1 HT 0-0
Alianza Petrolera
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Llaneros vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.47
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
25%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
36%
+7.4pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
33%
-7.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.3pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Llaneros v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llaneros EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 37%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.96/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.52
+4% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
256 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
10.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
16.8 Crosses 13.7
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Llaneros 0-1 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Llaneros
0-1
AWAY Alianza Petrolera
0.83 xG 0.13
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
288 Passes 281
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Llaneros vs Alianza Petrolera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Petrolera nicked a narrow win over Llaneros 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Llaneros at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Llaneros had 51% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 49%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 0.83 to 0.13 — on chances, Llaneros could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Llaneros vs Alianza Petrolera?

Llaneros 0-1 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llaneros vs Alianza Petrolera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llaneros win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Llaneros 44%, draw 31%, Alianza Petrolera 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Llaneros) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llaneros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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