Envigado 1-1 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
46%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+9.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
47%
Away Win
56%
-9.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.7pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 59%
+1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.82/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.77
-5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +13%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
245 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 81%
12.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
13.7 Crosses 12.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
0W-3D-3L
AWAY America de Cali
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.89 xG 1.12
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 Passes 264
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 4-0 HT 2-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
19.02.2024 Envigado Envigado 1-1 HT 0-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
07.09.2023 Envigado Envigado 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
26.02.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
09.07.2022 Envigado Envigado 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
21.01.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Envigado
1-1
AWAY America de Cali
0.87 xG 0.47
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
303 Passes 264
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 13
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Envigado vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Envigado and America de Cali couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was America de Cali at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Envigado had 53% of the ball to America de Cali's 47%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.87 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Envigado and 1.17 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Envigado vs America de Cali?

Envigado 1-1 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated an America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Envigado 28%, draw 26%, America de Cali 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (America de Cali), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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