12/04/2025
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Al Ahed vs Al Ansar Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
36%
Draw
30%
25%
Away Win
31%
57%
Under 2.5
54%
43%
Over 2.5
46%
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
49%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahed v Al Ansar — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Ahed
EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Ansar
EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% /
-10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
272 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
276 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Al Ahed vs Al Ansar Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Ahed
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Al Ansar
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
4.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Al Ahed vs Al Ansar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Ahed squeezed past Al Ansar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 36% / 25% — and on the day Al Ahed made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
What was the final score of Al Ahed vs Al Ansar?
Al Ahed 1-0 Al Ansar in the Lebanon - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahed vs Al Ansar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Ahed 39%, draw 36%, Al Ansar 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahed), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Ahed)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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LUBN
More Lebanon - Premier League
12 Apr 2025