Györi ETO 2-0 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 27% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-3.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Györi ETO EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.20/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.09
+25% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
353 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
17.6 Crosses 21.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Györi ETO
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Puskas FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.56 xG 0.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
294 Passes 298
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
04.12.2024 Györi ETO Györi ETO 0-2 HT 0-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
26.04.2015 Györi ETO Györi ETO 1-0 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
03.10.2014 Puskas FC Puskas FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
03.05.2014 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
27.10.2013 Györi ETO Györi ETO 2-2 HT 2-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Györi ETO
2-0
AWAY Puskas FC
1.70 xG 0.94
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
354 Passes 213
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Györi ETO vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Györi ETO saw off Puskas FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Puskas FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Györi ETO had 60% of the ball to Puskas FC's 40%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.70 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Györi ETO had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Györi ETO and 1.00 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Györi ETO vs Puskas FC?

Györi ETO 2-0 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Györi ETO vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Györi ETO 31%, draw 26%, Puskas FC 43%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC More Hungary - NB I
12 Apr 2025
20:45 Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvaros Analysis →