Humenne 1-0 Povazska Bystrica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Humenne EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Povazska Bystrica EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.86/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.86
-35% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +52%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Humenne
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Povazska Bystrica
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica 3-1 HT 1-0 Humenne SLVK2
28.03.2024 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica 1-3 HT 0-3 Humenne SLVK2
09.09.2023 Humenne 1-1 HT 0-0 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica SLVK2
12.11.2022 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica 2-0 HT 1-0 Humenne SLVK2
23.07.2022 Humenne 2-1 HT 0-1 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Humenne
1-0
AWAY Povazska Bystrica
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Humenne vs Povazska Bystrica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Humenne squeezed past Povazska Bystrica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Humenne made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Humenne had 61% of the ball to Povazska Bystrica's 39%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Humenne and 1.60 for Povazska Bystrica.

What was the final score of Humenne vs Povazska Bystrica?

Humenne 1-0 Povazska Bystrica in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Humenne vs Povazska Bystrica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Humenne win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Humenne 36%, draw 28%, Povazska Bystrica 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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