Ilirija 1-2 Jadran Dekani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilirija EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Jadran Dekani EU Bookmakers 42%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.57/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.80
+27% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +54%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilirija
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Jadran Dekani
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
28.09.2024 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 0-0 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
02.03.2024 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 0-0 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
13.08.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 1-0 HT 1-0 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani SLVN2
08.04.2023 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 1-0 HT 1-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
24.09.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 0-0 HT 0-0 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani SLVN2
29.04.2022 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 1-1 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
POST-MATCH Ilirija vs Jadran Dekani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jadran Dekani nicked a narrow win over Ilirija 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Jadran Dekani made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ilirija and 0.33 for Jadran Dekani.

What was the final score of Ilirija vs Jadran Dekani?

Ilirija 1-2 Jadran Dekani in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilirija vs Jadran Dekani?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jadran Dekani win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ilirija 31%, draw 31%, Jadran Dekani 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jadran Dekani) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jadran Dekani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN2 More Slovenia - 2.SNL
12 Apr 2025
16:00 Aluminij vs Dravinja Analysis →
18:00 Beltinci vs Krka Analysis →
19:00 NK Brinje vs Bilje Analysis →