Aluminij 2-1 Dravinja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.5pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminij EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Dravinja EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.92/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.71
+8% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminij
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dravinja
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2024 Dravinja Dravinja 1-2 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aluminij
2-1
AWAY Dravinja
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aluminij vs Dravinja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminij nicked a narrow win over Dravinja 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aluminij as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aluminij had 51% of the ball to Dravinja's 49%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Aluminij vs Dravinja?

Aluminij 2-1 Dravinja in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminij vs Dravinja?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 60%, draw 22%, Dravinja 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aluminij), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aluminij) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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