Dravinja 1-2 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 29 Sep 2024

Dravinja
1-2 HT 0-1
Aluminij
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Slovenia - 2.SNL – 2024/2025

Dravinja vs Aluminij Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dravinja v Aluminij — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dravinja EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 43%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
1.46/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.71
-3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +86%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
266 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Dravinja 1-2 Aluminij — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dravinja
1-2
AWAY Aluminij
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dravinja vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminij squeezed past Dravinja 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Aluminij found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dravinja had 55% of the ball to Aluminij's 45%, shots finished 15-9.

What was the final score of Dravinja vs Aluminij?

Dravinja 1-2 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dravinja vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dravinja 32%, draw 29%, Aluminij 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aluminij) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aluminij) ✗ Under 2.5
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