Krka 1-0 Beltinci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.0pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krka EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Beltinci EU Bookmakers 49%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.28/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.10
-8% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krka
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Beltinci
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2024 Beltinci Beltinci 0-1 HT 0-1 Krka Krka SLVN2
29.09.2023 Krka Krka 0-2 HT 0-1 Beltinci Beltinci SLVN2
17.03.2023 Krka Krka 0-0 HT 0-0 Beltinci Beltinci SLVN2
03.09.2022 Beltinci Beltinci 0-1 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
16.04.2022 Krka Krka 3-2 HT 1-0 Beltinci Beltinci SLVN2
POST-MATCH Krka vs Beltinci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krka nicked a narrow win over Beltinci 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Beltinci at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Krka had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Krka and 0.80 for Beltinci.

What was the final score of Krka vs Beltinci?

Krka 1-0 Beltinci in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krka vs Beltinci?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beltinci win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Krka 32%, draw 25%, Beltinci 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Beltinci) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beltinci) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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