İstanbulspor 0-2 Keçiörengücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

İstanbulspor
0-2 HT 0-0
Keçiörengücü
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

İstanbulspor vs Keçiörengücü Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 28% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.16
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
20%
4.31
X/2
8%
9.68
X/X
15%
5.77
2/1
9%
21.5
2/2
8%
7.41
2/X
5%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.0pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İstanbulspor v Keçiörengücü — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.96/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.36
+39% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
17.4 Crosses 15.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

İstanbulspor vs Keçiörengücü Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Keçiörengücü
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.33 xG 1.18
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
426 Passes 304
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.12.2024 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 2-1 HT 2-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
18.03.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
23.10.2021 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 3-2 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
05.03.2021 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
01.11.2020 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-1 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
27.02.2020 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 0-0 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L

İstanbulspor 0-2 Keçiörengücü — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
0-2
AWAY Keçiörengücü
0.82 xG 3.05
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
399 Passes 244
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 23
30 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Keçiörengücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keçiörengücü beat İstanbulspor 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was İstanbulspor at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 60% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 40%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 0.82 to 3.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keçiörengücü led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for İstanbulspor and 1.17 for Keçiörengücü.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Keçiörengücü?

İstanbulspor 0-2 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a İstanbulspor win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 53%, draw 26%, Keçiörengücü 21%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (İstanbulspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İstanbulspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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