Bucaspor 1928 0-3 Elazığspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.48
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
40%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.75
Over
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.96
No
42%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
37%
4-5
25%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
20%
+11.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.7pp
40%
Away Win
56%
-16.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
47%
+10.7pp
42%
BTTS No
53%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Elazığspor EU Bookmakers 60%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/1.59
+142% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / -54%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
216 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bucaspor 1928
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Elazığspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.11.2024 Elazığspor Elazığspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bucaspor 1928
0-3
AWAY Elazığspor
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bucaspor 1928 vs Elazığspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elazığspor swept aside Bucaspor 1928 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Elazığspor made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bucaspor 1928 had 35% of the ball to Elazığspor's 65%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Bucaspor 1928 vs Elazığspor?

Bucaspor 1928 0-3 Elazığspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucaspor 1928 vs Elazığspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elazığspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bucaspor 1928 31%, draw 29%, Elazığspor 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elazığspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elazığspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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