Elazığspor 1-0 Bucaspor 1928 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.59
Over
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
43%
4-5
18%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elazığspor EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 26%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +20%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.06
+131% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
POST-MATCH Elazığspor vs Bucaspor 1928
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elazığspor edged past Bucaspor 1928 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Elazığspor as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Elazığspor vs Bucaspor 1928?

Elazığspor 1-0 Bucaspor 1928 in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elazığspor vs Bucaspor 1928?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elazığspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Elazığspor 46%, draw 26%, Bucaspor 1928 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elazığspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elazığspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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