Nazilli Belediyespor 2-1 Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
52%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.29
Over 2.5
46%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+10.4pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.4pp
52%
Away Win
67%
-14.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
40%
+14.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
60%
-14.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor EU Bookmakers 71%
+80% / +80% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.01.2024 Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor S2-B
03.09.2023 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nazilli Belediyespor
2-1
AWAY Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nazilli Belediyespor vs Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nazilli Belediyespor edged past Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Nazilli Belediyespor had 37% of the ball to Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor's 63%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nazilli Belediyespor and 1.00 for Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor.

What was the final score of Nazilli Belediyespor vs Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor?

Nazilli Belediyespor 2-1 Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nazilli Belediyespor vs Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nazilli Belediyespor 24%, draw 23%, Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor 52%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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