Van Spor FK 2-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 21%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.35/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.83
-23% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
522 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Van Spor FK
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
24.03.2024 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-2 HT 1-1 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK S2-B
12.11.2023 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK 1-1 HT 1-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor S2-B
09.10.2022 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-0 HT 1-0 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK S2-K
21.10.2020 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 0-1 HT 0-0 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK T2L-K
POST-MATCH Van Spor FK vs Karacabey Belediye Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Van Spor FK got the better of Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Van Spor FK as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Van Spor FK and 1.25 for Karacabey Belediye Spor.

What was the final score of Van Spor FK vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Van Spor FK 2-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Van Spor FK vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Van Spor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Van Spor FK 48%, draw 25%, Karacabey Belediye Spor 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Van Spor FK), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Van Spor FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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