68 Aksaray Belediyespor 1-0 Diyarbekir Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.86
Over 2.5
34%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.33
No
69%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-10.1pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.2pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
50%
+16.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
50%
-16.0pp
31%
BTTS Yes
39%
-7.5pp
69%
BTTS No
61%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Diyarbekir Spor EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.01/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.68
+5% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -32%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
442 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
1-0
AWAY Diyarbekir Spor
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Diyarbekir Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

68 Aksaray Belediyespor edged past Diyarbekir Spor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had 68 Aksaray Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (69%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, 68 Aksaray Belediyespor had 61% of the ball to Diyarbekir Spor's 39%, shots finished 18-11.

What was the final score of 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Diyarbekir Spor?

68 Aksaray Belediyespor 1-0 Diyarbekir Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Diyarbekir Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a 68 Aksaray Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 60%, draw 22%, Diyarbekir Spor 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (68 Aksaray Belediyespor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (68 Aksaray Belediyespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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