Arnavutköy Belediye 0-1 Somaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Somaspor EU Bookmakers 26%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.25/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.34
+72% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Somaspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 Somaspor Somaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye S2-K
19.04.2023 Somaspor Somaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye S2-B
13.11.2022 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 0-2 HT 0-1 Somaspor Somaspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye
0-1
AWAY Somaspor
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arnavutköy Belediye vs Somaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Somaspor squeezed past Arnavutköy Belediye 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Arnavutköy Belediye at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Arnavutköy Belediye had 51% of the ball to Somaspor's 49%, shots finished 5-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Somaspor led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Arnavutköy Belediye and 1.33 for Somaspor.

What was the final score of Arnavutköy Belediye vs Somaspor?

Arnavutköy Belediye 0-1 Somaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arnavutköy Belediye vs Somaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arnavutköy Belediye win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arnavutköy Belediye 48%, draw 26%, Somaspor 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye) ✓ Under 2.5
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