Kampala City 1-2 BUL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kampala City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY BUL EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.00/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.28
-23% / +142% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kampala City
1W-1D-0L
AWAY BUL
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
20.09.2024 BUL BUL 1-1 HT 0-0 Kampala City Kampala City UGA
01.12.2021 Kampala City Kampala City 3-1 HT 1-0 BUL BUL UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kampala City
1-2
AWAY BUL
73% Ball Possession 27%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kampala City vs BUL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL edged past Kampala City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kampala City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kampala City had 73% of the ball to BUL's 27%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kampala City had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kampala City and 1.00 for BUL.

What was the final score of Kampala City vs BUL?

Kampala City 1-2 BUL in the Uganda - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kampala City vs BUL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kampala City 47%, draw 29%, BUL 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kampala City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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