Thanh Hoa 1-1 Song Lam Nghe An — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.56
Over
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
41%
4-5
19%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thanh Hoa EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Song Lam Nghe An EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.48/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.44
+7% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thanh Hoa
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Song Lam Nghe An
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 0-1 HT 0-1 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
15.06.2024 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 0-1 HT 0-1 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
04.11.2023 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 3-1 HT 2-0 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An VİET
07.02.2023 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 0-0 HT 0-0 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An VİET
03.09.2022 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 2-0 HT 1-0 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An VİET
07.08.2022 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 0-0 HT 0-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
POST-MATCH Thanh Hoa vs Song Lam Nghe An
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thanh Hoa and Song Lam Nghe An shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Thanh Hoa at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thanh Hoa had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Thanh Hoa and 0.17 for Song Lam Nghe An.

What was the final score of Thanh Hoa vs Song Lam Nghe An?

Thanh Hoa 1-1 Song Lam Nghe An in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thanh Hoa vs Song Lam Nghe An?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thanh Hoa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Thanh Hoa 48%, draw 25%, Song Lam Nghe An 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Thanh Hoa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thanh Hoa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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