Cong An Nhan Dan 3-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.34
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.0
Over
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.13
No
45%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
39%
4-5
33%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Cong An Nhan Dan win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
70%
-10.6pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.3pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
43%
+12.5pp
45%
BTTS No
57%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cong An Nhan Dan EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoang Anh Gia Lai EU Bookmakers 14%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.84/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.80
-7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cong An Nhan Dan
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Hoang Anh Gia Lai
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
73% Ball Possession 27%
24 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-0 HT 1-0 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan VİET
25.06.2024 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan 5-0 HT 1-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
25.11.2023 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan 2-1 HT 1-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİETK
28.10.2023 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 0-3 HT 0-1 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cong An Nhan Dan
3-1
AWAY Hoang Anh Gia Lai
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cong An Nhan Dan vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cong An Nhan Dan beat Hoang Anh Gia Lai 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cong An Nhan Dan as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cong An Nhan Dan had 68% of the ball to Hoang Anh Gia Lai's 32%, shots finished 23-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cong An Nhan Dan had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Cong An Nhan Dan and 0.50 for Hoang Anh Gia Lai.

What was the final score of Cong An Nhan Dan vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?

Cong An Nhan Dan 3-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cong An Nhan Dan vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cong An Nhan Dan win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Cong An Nhan Dan 59%, draw 25%, Hoang Anh Gia Lai 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cong An Nhan Dan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cong An Nhan Dan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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