Yaracuyanos 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
54%
Away Win
53%
+0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yaracuyanos EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 57%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.89/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.05
-16% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -46%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.4 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yaracuyanos
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2021 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 HT 0-0 Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos VEN
05.11.2020 Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yaracuyanos
1-2
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.40 xG 0.91
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
361 Passes 278
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yaracuyanos vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira nicked a narrow win over Yaracuyanos 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Yaracuyanos had 57% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 43%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.40 to 0.91 — the balance of chances actually favoured Yaracuyanos.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Yaracuyanos and 1.00 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Yaracuyanos vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Yaracuyanos 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yaracuyanos vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Yaracuyanos 20%, draw 26%, Deportivo La Guaira 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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