Portuguesa FC 4-2 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-9.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.23/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.42
-16% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 80%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
20.9 Crosses 18.8
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portuguesa FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.78 xG 1.09
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
282 Passes 290
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.10.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-0 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
13.04.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 3-2 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
17.07.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
30.04.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-1 HT 0-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
08.08.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
17.04.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa FC
4-2
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes De Merida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa FC got the better of Estudiantes De Merida 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Portuguesa FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Portuguesa FC had 46% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 54%, shots finished 12-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portuguesa FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Portuguesa FC and 1.00 for Estudiantes De Merida.

What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Portuguesa FC 4-2 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portuguesa FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 41%, draw 28%, Estudiantes De Merida 31%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portuguesa FC), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portuguesa FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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