Estudiantes De Merida 2-0 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 12 Oct 2024

Estudiantes De Merida
2-0 HT 1-0
Portuguesa FC
📅12/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Estudiantes De Merida vs Portuguesa FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes De Merida v Portuguesa FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -5%
1.69/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.20
-4% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
23.0 Crosses 14.4
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.4

Estudiantes De Merida vs Portuguesa FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.84 xG 0.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
292 Passes 272
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 3-2 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
17.07.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
30.04.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-1 HT 0-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
08.08.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
17.04.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
04.10.2021 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN

Estudiantes De Merida 2-0 Portuguesa FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
2-0
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.87 xG 0.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
283 Passes 311
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes De Merida saw off Portuguesa FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Estudiantes De Merida as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 48% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 52%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.87 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portuguesa FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.50 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Portuguesa FC?

Estudiantes De Merida 2-0 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 45%, draw 24%, Portuguesa FC 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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