Zamora 2-4 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.11/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.99
+15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
295 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
17.5 Crosses 19.6
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Monagas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.93 xG 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
247 Passes 309
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 4
13.04.2024 Monagas Monagas 1-0 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
29.07.2023 Monagas Monagas 2-1 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
15.04.2023 Zamora Zamora 1-1 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
20.10.2022 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 0-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
12.06.2022 Zamora Zamora 2-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
03.06.2022 Monagas Monagas 0-1 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora
2-4
AWAY Monagas
0.92 xG 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
262 Passes 232
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zamora vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas saw off Zamora 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Monagas made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zamora had 55% of the ball to Monagas's 45%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.92 to 1.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zamora and 0.83 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Zamora vs Monagas?

Zamora 2-4 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zamora 32%, draw 29%, Monagas 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monagas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monagas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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