Monagas 1-0 Zamora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -16%
1.43/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.48
+0% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
22.5 Crosses 13.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Zamora
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.88 xG 1.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
300 Passes 310
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
29.07.2023 Monagas Monagas 2-1 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
15.04.2023 Zamora Zamora 1-1 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
20.10.2022 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 0-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
12.06.2022 Zamora Zamora 2-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
03.06.2022 Monagas Monagas 0-1 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
23.11.2020 Monagas Monagas 1-0 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
1-0
AWAY Zamora
0.74 xG 0.20
68% Ball Possession 32%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 0
329 Passes 120
75% Pass Accuracy 57%
11 Box Touches 6
26 Crosses 6
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Zamora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas squeezed past Zamora 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Monagas as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Monagas had 68% of the ball to Zamora's 32%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.74 to 0.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Monagas and 1.00 for Zamora.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Zamora?

Monagas 1-0 Zamora in the Venezuela - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Zamora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Monagas 48%, draw 24%, Zamora 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monagas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monagas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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