Portuguesa FC 3-2 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

Portuguesa FC
3-2 HT 1-0
Estudiantes De Merida
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes De Merida Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portuguesa FC v Estudiantes De Merida — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
0.87/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.81
-31% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 75%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
21.4 Crosses 16.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0

Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes De Merida Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portuguesa FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.69 xG 0.63
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
245 Passes 283
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.07.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
30.04.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-1 HT 0-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
08.08.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
17.04.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
04.10.2021 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
16.08.2021 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-0 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN

Portuguesa FC 3-2 Estudiantes De Merida — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa FC
3-2
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.14 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
325 Passes 309
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes De Merida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa FC edged past Estudiantes De Merida 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Portuguesa FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portuguesa FC had 50% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 50%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.14 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portuguesa FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Portuguesa FC and 0.50 for Estudiantes De Merida.

What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Portuguesa FC 3-2 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portuguesa FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 48%, draw 27%, Estudiantes De Merida 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portuguesa FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portuguesa FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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