Deportivo La Guaira 3-2 Rayo Zuliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 23%
-10% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.63/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.53
+2% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
18.8 Crosses 15.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.56 xG 1.48
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 Passes 268
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.07.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 1-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VENK
14.04.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 2-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
08.03.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira CON CSA
08.07.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
07.05.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 5-3 HT 3-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
3-2
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
2.48 xG 1.42
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
258 Passes 321
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Rayo Zuliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira edged past Rayo Zuliano 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 43% of the ball to Rayo Zuliano's 57%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.48 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.20 for Rayo Zuliano.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Rayo Zuliano?

Deportivo La Guaira 3-2 Rayo Zuliano in the Venezuela - Premier League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Rayo Zuliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 49%, draw 27%, Rayo Zuliano 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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