Rayo Zuliano 2-2 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +21%
1.81/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.84
+6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
301 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
20.8 Crosses 16.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Zuliano
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.49 xG 1.65
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
261 Passes 320
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira CON CSA
08.07.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
07.05.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 5-3 HT 3-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Zuliano
2-2
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.48 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
287 Passes 306
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rayo Zuliano vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Zuliano and Deportivo La Guaira couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Zuliano had 49% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 51%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.48 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rayo Zuliano and 2.00 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Rayo Zuliano vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Rayo Zuliano 2-2 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Zuliano vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rayo Zuliano 35%, draw 28%, Deportivo La Guaira 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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