Angostura FC 2-1 Hermanos Colmenarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.8pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
0.86/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.33
-71% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
24.4 Crosses 11.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angostura FC
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.51 xG 1.44
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
245 Passes 272
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
25.08.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
13.03.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 2-2 HT 0-1 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angostura FC
2-1
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
2.59 xG 0.37
67% Ball Possession 33%
24 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
357 Passes 136
85% Pass Accuracy 62%
27 Box Touches 8
31 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Angostura FC vs Hermanos Colmenarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angostura FC squeezed past Hermanos Colmenarez 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Angostura FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Angostura FC had 67% of the ball to Hermanos Colmenarez's 33%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 2.59 to 0.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Angostura FC's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Angostura FC and 1.00 for Hermanos Colmenarez.

What was the final score of Angostura FC vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Angostura FC 2-1 Hermanos Colmenarez in the Venezuela - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angostura FC vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Angostura FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Angostura FC 46%, draw 28%, Hermanos Colmenarez 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Angostura FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Angostura FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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