Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 Rayo Zuliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 15 Jul 2024

📅15/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 21%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-39% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.56 xG 1.48
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 Passes 268
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 2-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
08.03.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira CON CSA
08.07.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
07.05.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 5-3 HT 3-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2-1
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Rayo Zuliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira nicked a narrow win over Rayo Zuliano 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 55% of the ball to Rayo Zuliano's 45%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.25 for Rayo Zuliano.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Rayo Zuliano?

Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 Rayo Zuliano in the VENK on 15/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Rayo Zuliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 49%, draw 28%, Rayo Zuliano 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5
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