Monagas 0-2 Metropolitan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 15 Jul 2024

📅15/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
24%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.1pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.4pp
24%
Away Win
30%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitan EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
272 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
0-2
AWAY Metropolitan
52% Ball Possession 48%
25 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Metropolitan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitan beat Monagas 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Monagas at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Monagas had 52% of the ball to Metropolitan's 48%, shots finished 25-9.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Metropolitan?

Monagas 0-2 Metropolitan in the VENK on 15/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Metropolitan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Monagas 44%, draw 32%, Metropolitan 24%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Monagas) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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