Melilla 0-1 CD Aguilas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.54
Over 2.5
33%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-5.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
61%
+6.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
39%
-6.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melilla EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
1.08/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.84
-12% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melilla
1W-1D-1L
AWAY CD Aguilas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 3-1 HT 1-0 Melilla Melilla İS4
08.05.2022 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 0-1 HT 0-0 Melilla Melilla İS4
19.12.2021 Melilla Melilla 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
POST-MATCH Melilla vs CD Aguilas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Aguilas squeezed past Melilla 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Melilla at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Melilla and 1.33 for CD Aguilas.

What was the final score of Melilla vs CD Aguilas?

Melilla 0-1 CD Aguilas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melilla vs CD Aguilas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Melilla 45%, draw 31%, CD Aguilas 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Melilla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melilla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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