12/04/2026
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Naxara vs SD Logrones Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
27%
Draw
27%
34%
Away Win
31%
58%
Under 2.5
55%
42%
Over 2.5
45%
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
53%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naxara v SD Logrones — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Naxara
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
SD Logrones
EU Bookmakers 34%
-16% /
-14%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+1% /
-6%
0.80/1.01
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.08/1.16
-35%
/
-2%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+0%
/
-2%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
362 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
309 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.1
Yellow Cards
3.2
Naxara vs SD Logrones Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Naxara
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
SD Logrones
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
59%
Ball Possession
41%
9
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
8
1
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Naxara vs SD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Naxara saw off SD Logrones 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Naxara found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Naxara vs SD Logrones?
Naxara 2-0 SD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naxara vs SD Logrones?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naxara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Naxara 39%, draw 27%, SD Logrones 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naxara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Naxara)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
12 Apr 2026