Rayo Vallecano II 3-1 Intercity Alicante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.4pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Vallecano II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.45/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.07
+37% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Vallecano II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Intercity Alicante
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 5
30.11.2025 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 2-0 HT 1-0 Rayo Vallecano II Rayo Vallecano II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Vallecano II
3-1
AWAY Intercity Alicante
59% Ball Possession 41%
24 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rayo Vallecano II vs Intercity Alicante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Vallecano II saw off Intercity Alicante 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Rayo Vallecano II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Rayo Vallecano II had 59% of the ball to Intercity Alicante's 41%, shots finished 24-6.

What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano II vs Intercity Alicante?

Rayo Vallecano II 3-1 Intercity Alicante in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Vallecano II vs Intercity Alicante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Intercity Alicante win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano II 33%, draw 27%, Intercity Alicante 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Intercity Alicante) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Intercity Alicante) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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