Fiorentina U20 1-3 Sassuolo U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.72
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
54%
+4.2pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.3pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo U20 EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.44/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.24
+41% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina U20
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Sassuolo U20
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2025 Sassuolo U20 Sassuolo U20 1-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
23.02.2025 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 2-3 HT 0-1 Sassuolo U20 Sassuolo U20 İTAPŞ1
15.12.2024 Sassuolo U20 Sassuolo U20 2-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
20.08.2024 Sassuolo U20 Sassuolo U20 2-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTASK20
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U20 vs Sassuolo U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo U20 saw off Fiorentina U20 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fiorentina U20 at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sassuolo U20 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Fiorentina U20 and 2.00 for Sassuolo U20.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U20 vs Sassuolo U20?

Fiorentina U20 1-3 Sassuolo U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U20 vs Sassuolo U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U20 59%, draw 18%, Sassuolo U20 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fiorentina U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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