Fiorentina U20 2-3 Sassuolo U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo U20 EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.29/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.48
+36% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
314 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina U20
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Sassuolo U20
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Sassuolo U20 Sassuolo U20 2-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
20.08.2024 Sassuolo U20 Sassuolo U20 2-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTASK20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina U20
2-3
AWAY Sassuolo U20
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U20 vs Sassuolo U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo U20 squeezed past Fiorentina U20 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina U20 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fiorentina U20 had 56% of the ball to Sassuolo U20's 44%, shots finished 16-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sassuolo U20 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Fiorentina U20 and 2.00 for Sassuolo U20.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U20 vs Sassuolo U20?

Fiorentina U20 2-3 Sassuolo U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U20 vs Sassuolo U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U20 43%, draw 26%, Sassuolo U20 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fiorentina U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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