Lecce U20 3-1 Sampdoria U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.1
Over 2.5
42%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+2.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.2pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce U20 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria U20 EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.95/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.49
+9% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
392 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecce U20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sampdoria U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
22.12.2024 Sampdoria U20 Sampdoria U20 3-1 HT 0-0 Lecce U20 Lecce U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecce U20
3-1
AWAY Sampdoria U20
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lecce U20 vs Sampdoria U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecce U20 got the better of Sampdoria U20 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lecce U20 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lecce U20 had 36% of the ball to Sampdoria U20's 64%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Lecce U20 vs Sampdoria U20?

Lecce U20 3-1 Sampdoria U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce U20 vs Sampdoria U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecce U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lecce U20 54%, draw 22%, Sampdoria U20 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lecce U20) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lecce U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTAPŞ1 More Italy - Primavera Championship
23 Feb 2025
13:00 Roma U20 vs Juventus U20 Analysis →
15:00 Fiorentina U20 vs Sassuolo U20 Analysis →
17:00 Cremonese U20 vs Cagliari U20 Analysis →
17:00 Torino U20 vs Hellas Verona U20 Analysis →