Marquense 3-0 Mictlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.5pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marquense EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Mictlan EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.27/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.47
-22% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
484 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marquense
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Mictlan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2026 Mictlan Mictlan 2-1 HT 2-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
09.11.2025 Mictlan Mictlan 1-1 HT 1-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
07.09.2025 Marquense Marquense 1-0 HT 1-0 Mictlan Mictlan GUAT
POST-MATCH Marquense vs Mictlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marquense ran out comfortable winners over Mictlan 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marquense as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marquense and 1.00 for Mictlan.

What was the final score of Marquense vs Mictlan?

Marquense 3-0 Mictlan in the Guatemala - National League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marquense vs Mictlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marquense win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Marquense 54%, draw 23%, Mictlan 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marquense), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marquense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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