Mictlan 2-1 Marquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 23 Feb 2026

📅23/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
15%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
15%
Away Win
20%
-4.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mictlan EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Marquense EU Bookmakers 22%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.98/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/1.27
-41% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mictlan
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Marquense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 5
09.11.2025 Mictlan Mictlan 1-1 HT 1-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
07.09.2025 Marquense Marquense 1-0 HT 1-0 Mictlan Mictlan GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mictlan
2-1
AWAY Marquense
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mictlan vs Marquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mictlan squeezed past Marquense 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mictlan as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mictlan had 56% of the ball to Marquense's 44%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Marquense led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mictlan and 1.00 for Marquense.

What was the final score of Mictlan vs Marquense?

Mictlan 2-1 Marquense in the Guatemala - National League on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mictlan vs Marquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mictlan win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Mictlan 56%, draw 29%, Marquense 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mictlan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mictlan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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